Games
120
Games
58.3%
Winner accuracy
0.2471
Brier
55.8%
Home win rate
| Date | Matchup | Score | Pick | Win% | Pred MOV | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 16 | Rangers @ Maple Leafs | 1–2 | Maple Leafs | 68.5% | +1.07 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Predators @ Canadiens | 2–3 | Predators | 59.3% | -0.52 | +1 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Kraken @ Senators | 3–4 | Kraken | 63.7% | -0.78 | +1 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Panthers @ Devils | 1–3 | Panthers | 53.2% | -0.18 | +2 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Jets @ Flyers | 5–2 | Flyers | 63.8% | +0.79 | -3 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Avalanche @ Blue Jackets | 4–1 | Avalanche | 63.5% | -0.77 | -3 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Oilers @ Islanders | 2–4 | Oilers | 70.2% | -1.18 | +2 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Canucks @ Stars | 5–3 | Canucks | 60.8% | -0.61 | -2 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Bruins @ Golden Knights | 5–6 | Bruins | 52.2% | -0.12 | +1 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Hurricanes @ Ducks | 4–1 | Hurricanes | 52.2% | -0.12 | -3 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 16 | Penguins @ Kings | 4–2 | Penguins | 57.8% | -0.44 | -2 | ✓ |
| Fri Oct 17 | Lightning @ Red Wings | 1–2 | Red Wings | 66.0% | +0.90 | +1 | ✓ |
| Fri Oct 17 | Wild @ Capitals | 1–5 | Capitals | 52.3% | +0.13 | +4 | ✓ |
| Fri Oct 17 | Canucks @ Blackhawks | 3–2 | Canucks | 52.2% | -0.12 | -1 | ✓ |
| Fri Oct 17 | Sharks @ Mammoth | 3–6 | Sharks | 55.3% | -0.29 | +3 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Panthers @ Sabres | 0–3 | Sabres | 50.8% | +0.04 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Islanders @ Senators | 5–4 | Islanders | 62.0% | -0.66 | -1 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Oilers @ Devils | 3–5 | Devils | 54.8% | +0.26 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Kraken @ Maple Leafs | 4–3 | Maple Leafs | 59.0% | +0.49 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Rangers @ Canadiens | 4–3 | Rangers | 58.0% | -0.44 | -1 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Wild @ Flyers | 1–2 | Flyers | 57.7% | +0.42 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Lightning @ Blue Jackets | 2–3 | Lightning | 80.3% | -1.85 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Stars @ Blues | 1–3 | Stars | 64.8% | -0.83 | +2 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Predators @ Jets | 1–4 | Predators | 66.3% | -0.91 | +3 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Bruins @ Avalanche | 1–4 | Avalanche | 64.2% | +0.79 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Hurricanes @ Kings | 4–3 | Hurricanes | 70.8% | -1.19 | -1 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Flames @ Golden Knights | 1–6 | Golden Knights | 62.1% | +0.67 | +5 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 18 | Penguins @ Sharks | 3–0 | Penguins | 88.2% | -2.57 | -3 | ✓ |
| Sun Oct 19 | Canucks @ Capitals | 4–3 | Capitals | 80.1% | +1.87 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sun Oct 19 | Oilers @ Red Wings | 2–4 | Red Wings | 71.4% | +1.25 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sun Oct 19 | Ducks @ Blackhawks | 1–2 | Ducks | 70.2% | -1.17 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sun Oct 19 | Bruins @ Mammoth | 2–3 | Mammoth | 79.0% | +1.79 | +1 | ✓ |
| Mon Oct 20 | Wild @ Rangers | 3–1 | Wild | 53.8% | -0.21 | -2 | ✓ |
| Mon Oct 20 | Kraken @ Flyers | 2–5 | Kraken | 56.5% | -0.36 | +3 | ✗ |
| Mon Oct 20 | Sabres @ Canadiens | 2–4 | Sabres | 50.5% | -0.03 | +2 | ✗ |
| Mon Oct 20 | Jets @ Flames | 2–1 | Jets | 58.0% | -0.45 | -1 | ✓ |
| Mon Oct 20 | Hurricanes @ Golden Knights | 1–4 | Golden Knights | 51.3% | +0.07 | +3 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Devils @ Maple Leafs | 5–2 | Maple Leafs | 63.7% | +0.77 | -3 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Oilers @ Senators | 3–2 | Oilers | 58.5% | -0.47 | -1 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Sharks @ Islanders | 3–4 | Sharks | 51.0% | -0.06 | +1 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Canucks @ Penguins | 1–5 | Penguins | 57.9% | +0.44 | +4 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Kraken @ Capitals | 1–4 | Capitals | 60.4% | +0.58 | +3 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Panthers @ Bruins | 4–3 | Bruins | 69.2% | +1.11 | -1 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Kings @ Blues | 2–1 | Kings | 54.8% | -0.27 | -1 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Ducks @ Predators | 5–2 | Predators | 52.4% | +0.13 | -3 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Blue Jackets @ Stars | 5–1 | Stars | 54.4% | +0.24 | -4 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 21 | Avalanche @ Mammoth | 3–4 | Mammoth | 60.2% | +0.57 | +1 | ✓ |
| Wed Oct 22 | Wild @ Devils | 1–4 | Devils | 55.8% | +0.32 | +3 | ✓ |
| Wed Oct 22 | Red Wings @ Sabres | 2–4 | Red Wings | 61.0% | -0.63 | +2 | ✗ |
| Wed Oct 22 | Canadiens @ Flames | 2–1 | Canadiens | 51.8% | -0.10 | -1 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Blackhawks @ Lightning | 3–2 | Blackhawks | 57.8% | -0.44 | -1 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Ducks @ Bruins | 7–5 | Bruins | 51.9% | +0.11 | -2 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Flyers @ Senators | 1–2 | Flyers | 59.9% | -0.56 | +1 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Penguins @ Panthers | 5–3 | Panthers | 55.8% | +0.32 | -2 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Red Wings @ Islanders | 2–7 | Islanders | 55.2% | +0.29 | +5 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Sharks @ Rangers | 6–5 | Sharks | 55.0% | -0.28 | -1 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Mammoth @ Blues | 7–4 | Mammoth | 58.2% | -0.46 | -3 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Canucks @ Predators | 1–2 | Predators | 50.7% | +0.04 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Kraken @ Jets | 3–0 | Kraken | 61.6% | -0.66 | -3 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Kings @ Stars | 3–2 | Kings | 54.3% | -0.24 | -1 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Hurricanes @ Avalanche | 5–4 | Avalanche | 59.2% | +0.52 | -1 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 23 | Canadiens @ Oilers | 5–6 | Oilers | 70.8% | +1.22 | +1 | ✓ |
| Fri Oct 24 | Maple Leafs @ Sabres | 3–5 | Maple Leafs | 50.6% | -0.04 | +2 | ✗ |
| Fri Oct 24 | Sharks @ Devils | 1–3 | Devils | 55.8% | +0.32 | +2 | ✓ |
| Fri Oct 24 | Capitals @ Blue Jackets | 5–1 | Capitals | 69.5% | -1.13 | -4 | ✓ |
| Fri Oct 24 | Flames @ Jets | 3–5 | Flames | 60.5% | -0.59 | +2 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Islanders @ Flyers | 3–4 | Flyers | 52.0% | +0.11 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Avalanche @ Bruins | 2–3 | Avalanche | 50.7% | -0.04 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Ducks @ Lightning | 3–4 | Ducks | 77.2% | -1.65 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Sabres @ Maple Leafs | 3–4 | Maple Leafs | 68.9% | +1.08 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Golden Knights @ Panthers | 0–3 | Panthers | 62.5% | +0.70 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Mammoth @ Wild | 6–2 | Wild | 50.5% | +0.03 | -4 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Blues @ Red Wings | 4–6 | Red Wings | 63.6% | +0.77 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Blue Jackets @ Penguins | 5–4 | Penguins | 57.3% | +0.41 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Senators @ Capitals | 7–1 | Capitals | 69.6% | +1.13 | -6 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Canadiens @ Canucks | 4–3 | Canadiens | 58.6% | -0.48 | -1 | ✓ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Kings @ Predators | 4–5 | Kings | 62.7% | -0.72 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Hurricanes @ Stars | 2–3 | Hurricanes | 55.9% | -0.33 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sat Oct 25 | Oilers @ Kraken | 2–3 | Kraken | 60.1% | +0.57 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sun Oct 26 | Avalanche @ Devils | 3–4 | Devils | 51.6% | +0.09 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sun Oct 26 | Golden Knights @ Lightning | 1–2 | Golden Knights | 52.9% | -0.16 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sun Oct 26 | Sharks @ Wild | 6–5 | Wild | 54.1% | +0.23 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sun Oct 26 | Mammoth @ Jets | 3–2 | Mammoth | 68.3% | -1.06 | -1 | ✓ |
| Sun Oct 26 | Kings @ Blackhawks | 3–1 | Kings | 64.3% | -0.82 | -2 | ✓ |
| Sun Oct 26 | Stars @ Predators | 3–2 | Stars | 65.0% | -0.86 | -1 | ✓ |
| Sun Oct 26 | Rangers @ Flames | 1–5 | Rangers | 53.7% | -0.21 | +4 | ✗ |
| Sun Oct 26 | Oilers @ Canucks | 3–4 | Canucks | 51.2% | +0.07 | +1 | ✓ |
| Mon Oct 27 | Blues @ Penguins | 3–6 | Blues | 51.7% | -0.09 | +3 | ✗ |
| Mon Oct 27 | Bruins @ Senators | 2–7 | Senators | 54.3% | +0.24 | +5 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Penguins @ Flyers | 2–3 | Flyers | 53.5% | +0.20 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Flames @ Maple Leafs | 3–4 | Maple Leafs | 68.6% | +1.09 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Golden Knights @ Hurricanes | 6–3 | Hurricanes | 70.1% | +1.18 | -3 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Blue Jackets @ Sabres | 4–3 | Blue Jackets | 60.1% | -0.57 | -1 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Ducks @ Panthers | 3–2 | Panthers | 58.5% | +0.48 | -1 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Islanders @ Bruins | 2–5 | Bruins | 56.8% | +0.38 | +3 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Lightning @ Predators | 5–2 | Lightning | 75.8% | -1.57 | -3 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Jets @ Wild | 4–3 | Jets | 57.3% | -0.41 | -1 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Red Wings @ Blues | 5–2 | Blues | 52.2% | +0.13 | -3 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Capitals @ Stars | 0–1 | Stars | 56.5% | +0.36 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Senators @ Blackhawks | 3–7 | Senators | 80.0% | -1.88 | +4 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Devils @ Avalanche | 4–8 | Avalanche | 68.2% | +1.06 | +4 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Mammoth @ Oilers | 3–6 | Oilers | 66.7% | +0.97 | +3 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Rangers @ Canucks | 2–0 | Rangers | 61.0% | -0.63 | -2 | ✓ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Canadiens @ Kraken | 4–3 | Kraken | 52.1% | +0.12 | -1 | ✗ |
| Tue Oct 28 | Kings @ Sharks | 4–3 | Kings | 69.1% | -1.12 | -1 | ✓ |
| Wed Oct 29 | Maple Leafs @ Blue Jackets | 3–6 | Maple Leafs | 53.5% | -0.86 | +3 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Sabres @ Bruins | 3–4 | Bruins | 63.4% | +0.72 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Flames @ Senators | 3–4 | Senators | 56.0% | -0.04 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Stars @ Lightning | 1–2 | Lightning | 53.5% | -0.28 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Predators @ Flyers | 1–4 | Flyers | 64.3% | +0.81 | +3 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Islanders @ Hurricanes | 2–6 | Hurricanes | 58.2% | +0.18 | +4 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Canucks @ Blues | 4–3 | Blues | 60.9% | +0.46 | -1 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Penguins @ Wild | 4–1 | Wild | 55.5% | -0.09 | -3 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Blackhawks @ Jets | 3–6 | Jets | 55.3% | -0.11 | +3 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Rangers @ Oilers | 4–3 | Oilers | 61.5% | +0.51 | -1 | ✗ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Devils @ Sharks | 2–5 | Sharks | 56.0% | -0.04 | +3 | ✓ |
| Thu Oct 30 | Red Wings @ Kings | 4–3 | Kings | 52.9% | -0.34 | -1 | ✗ |
| Fri Oct 31 | Avalanche @ Golden Knights | 4–2 | Golden Knights | 58.4% | +0.14 | -2 | ✗ |
| Fri Oct 31 | Islanders @ Capitals | 3–1 | Capitals | 66.1% | +0.93 | -2 | ✗ |
| Fri Oct 31 | Red Wings @ Ducks | 2–5 | Ducks | 56.3% | -0.06 | +3 | ✓ |
Score is away–home; predicted and actual MOV are from the home side. Backfilled predictions are walk-forward (out-of-sample), same as live ones.